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How defensible investment decisions get made

Method notes from building an analysis platform for brokers, funds and founders: memo structure, bottom-up market sizing, risk scoring and the warning signs that show up long before a diligence call.

Latest

Decks are written to be read front to back. Read in that order and you absorb the narrative before the numbers. Reverse the order and the narrative has to survive the numbers instead.

Investment process · 25 August 2026 · 7 min read

Articles by category

More from the research desk

Each piece is a working method, written the way we apply it inside the platform.

Investment process

2 articles

Investment process

How to read a pitch deck in twelve minutes

A repeatable reading order for pitch decks: which four slides decide the meeting, what each one has to prove, and the questions that expose a weak deck fast.

25 August 2026 · 7 min read

Investment process

The investment memo, section by section

A section-by-section investment memo template used by investment committees, with what belongs in each part, what to cut, and how to keep every claim traceable to evidence.

18 August 2026 · 9 min read

Due diligence

4 articles

Due diligence

Assessing founder-market fit without guessing

Founder-market fit is usually assessed on vibes. Here is an evidence-based version: what to ask, what to verify, and which signals genuinely predict execution.

25 August 2026 · 7 min read

Market analysis

3 articles

Market analysis

Which moats actually hold at seed stage

Most claimed moats are not moats at seed stage. A ranking of defensibility types by how quickly a funded competitor can neutralise them, with what to verify for each.

25 August 2026 · 8 min read

Market analysis

How do you calculate SOM?

A step-by-step method for calculating serviceable obtainable market from channel capacity and conversion rates, rather than by taking a percentage of TAM.

25 August 2026 · 6 min read

Financial analysis

4 articles

Financial analysis

Burn rate and runway, calculated honestly

Gross versus net burn, why the runway number in most decks is optimistic, and the three adjustments that make it defensible before an investment committee.

25 August 2026 · 7 min read

Financial analysis

What is a good CAC payback period?

How to calculate CAC payback correctly on a gross-margin basis, what payback periods hold up at seed, Series A and beyond, and the accounting choices that quietly flatter the number.

25 August 2026 · 7 min read

Financial analysis

How much runway should a startup have?

Why eighteen to twenty-four months is the working standard, what runway to hold when raising, and the trigger points at which financing risk becomes the dominant risk in the business.

25 August 2026 · 6 min read

Financial analysis

Unit economics: reading CAC, LTV and payback honestly

How to calculate CAC, LTV and CAC payback period without flattering the numbers, which definitional choices distort them, and what benchmarks actually mean at each stage.

24 August 2026 · 8 min read

Valuation

2 articles

Valuation

How much equity should you give away in a seed round?

Typical seed dilution ranges, how the option pool shuffles dilution onto founders, and how to work backwards from the capital you actually need rather than from a target valuation.

25 August 2026 · 7 min read

Valuation

Valuing a company with no revenue

The methods used to value pre-revenue startups — scorecard, comparables, dilution-first and venture method — and how to document a valuation so it can be defended later.

24 August 2026 · 8 min read

Risk

2 articles

AI and process

1 article

Guides

Prefer a structured reading order?

Each guide collects the articles on one topic in the sequence the work happens, plus the free tools and templates that do the same job.

Investment due diligence

A complete guide to investment due diligence: the workstreams, the questions investors ask, the red flags that matter, the data room, and how findings become a defensible memo.

9 articles

Market sizing

How to build market size from the bottom up: what belongs in TAM, SAM and SOM, how to calculate serviceable obtainable market from channel capacity, and how sizing interacts with defensibility.

3 articles

Startup financials

A guide to the financial questions that decide early-stage outcomes: CAC, LTV and payback, burn rate and runway, how much runway to hold, and how pre-revenue companies get valued.

6 articles

Apply these methods to a live deal

The platform runs the same structure automatically: bottom-up market sizing, a scored risk register, red-flag checks and a memo with every claim traced to its evidence. Every workspace starts with 2 free analyses and the full toolset.